Harry Markowitz proved mathematically that diversification reduces risk โ the efficient frontier, Sharpe ratio, and the only free lunch in investing.
FV, r, n) โ or type numbers directly: 10000 / (1 + 0.08)^1010000 / (1 + 0.08)^10In 1952, Harry Markowitz published a 14-page paper that would win a Nobel Prize: the insight that what matters for portfolio risk is not individual volatility, but how assets move together. By combining assets with low or negative correlations, investors can achieve a given expected return with LESS risk than any single asset. This is the mathematical proof that diversification is the only free lunch in investing.
Portfolio return = weighted average of individual returns. But portfolio risk is NOT a weighted average โ it's lower when correlation ฯ < 1. Portfolio variance: ฯยฒ_p = wโยฒฯโยฒ + wโยฒฯโยฒ + 2wโwโฯโฯโฯ. The efficient frontier is the set of portfolios with minimum variance for each level of expected return. The tangency portfolio has the highest Sharpe ratio = (Rp โ Rf) / ฯ_p โ the best risk-adjusted return.